jobs Archives - Runnymede Capital Management

Andy Wang on the Financial Markets, Jobs, and Earnings

Andy Wang says the massive liquidity and government stimulus measures can drive the market higher in the third quarter. But he tells Reuters' Fred Katayama the markets could also encounter some choppiness in the upcoming earnings season.

Will 50% of restaurants close permanently from the COVID-19 fallout?

While many people are hoping for a V-shape recovery for the economy, restaurateurs aren't so optimistic. It is scary to think about what the restaurant landscape might look like in the fallout of COVID-19 especially for fine dining which simply can't operate at half capacity.

How many jobs aren’t coming back right away?

In the last three weeks, over 15 million people have filed jobless claims. This is sharpest employment loss in history. The unemployment rate will surpass 15% in short order and could even go to 20%+. Optimists say that when the economy re-starts, jobs will return; however, we are concerned that not all jobs will come back right away and employment will take time to recover.

Jobless claims just starting to skyrocket

Last week jobless claims rose to 281,000. With the fast moving COVID-19 eviscerating demand, this is just the initial blast off of jobless claims. For those expecting a V-shape bottom, it is just way too early to call. Bill Gates believes the virus shutdown can last 10 weeks. This is going to be incredible strain on businesses.

Buffett: huge tax cut isn’t baked into market

Warren Buffett believes that the corporate tax reform is very bullish for the US stock market, and more importantly, isn't fully priced in to stock prices.

“The tax act is a huge factor in valuation,” he said on CNBC's “Squawk Box” on Wednesday. “You had this major change in the silent stock holder in American business who has been content with 35 percent… and now instead of getting 35 percent interest in the earnings they get a 21 percent and that makes the remaining stock more valuable.”