china Archives - Runnymede Capital Management

Benefits of Going Cashless and The Rise of Central Bank Digital Currencies

Innovation and Fintech expert, Richard Turrin discusses Chinaʻs mobile payment revolution, Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), and what it means for the West.

Chris Wang on Evergrande Contagion Risks and Expedia

In a conversation with Oliver Renick on the TD Ameritrade Network, Chris Wang, Research Director of Runnymede Capital Management, discusses the Monday market selloff triggered by fears of the Evergrande looming missed debt payment. There is clearly risk given that Evergrande is the #2 property developer in China with over 200,000 employees, 800 projects in 200 cities, and $300 million in debt. However, we do not believe that this is the next Lehman and China will step in to bail out the company or at least have an orderly restructuring of the company. So far the interbank rates do not reflect the same fears of the equity markets as the TED spread is flat from Friday.

China Shatters Box Office Record

Last year as the pandemic broke out in China, we looked to the east for signs of what life may be like dealing with lockdowns and a slow return from lockdowns.

What does smart money think of China? [video]

US investors have an estimated 2% in China stocks but should it be higher? Instead of reading the headlines, let's take a look at what the smart money is doing… with their kids.

Does the China COVID recovery point to a V-shaped US recovery?

With the COVID-19 shutdown profoundly impacting the US economy with over 30 million job losses, just one in 10 fund managers expect a V-shaped recovery according to the FT. Is this the right call? Luckily we can look to the Far East as a crystal ball and what we may have in store in the next few months.

China re-opened their economy in mid-February so they are about 3-5 months ahead of the US economy as the US is opening states at differing schedules.

What does it suggest about a V-shaped recovery? Some sectors have rebounded in a strong V, while others have been slow to recover. Let's take a closer look.

Macau casinos show what to expect from a Las Vegas reopening

Recently, the Las Vegas mayor Carolyn Goodman made waves for pushing for the reopening of Las Vegas. While it may not make sense from a health perspective, their economy relies on tourism, conference and gambling. Even if the governor decides to reopen, it isn't clear how quickly things can return to anything close to normal. Casinos will need to spend more on regular cleanings and gamblers will likely need to wear masks, have their temperatures checked, and sit with social distancing. This doesn't sound like an ideal environment to gamble. Whatever the case, we can look the Far East to the Macau casinos to see how they have done.