Month: October 2018

Should you buy or sell the spike in fear?

The Dow dropped 1300 points in a couple of days and the CNBC fear machine cranked into high gear. Even Fox Business News got into the action with the headline grabber “Biggest market crash in our lifetime coming – economist Harry Dent.” Of course if you google “Harry Dent crash,” he makes the same call every year so it is meaningless. The real question is: should you buy or sell the fear? The answer: it depends.

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Should you expect a US recession in 2019?

This week two prominent market veterans warned that the US could slip into recession next year. Mark Yusko of Morgan Creek Capital says that the chance is “close to 100%,” while Dennis Gartman puts the probability at 50%. According to Gartman the cause will be the Fed tightening. Yusko blames trade tariffs as he said, “The trade rhetoric is one of the dumbest things in the history of all administrations and it will cause a global recession.”

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